Yesterday was another day of active weather across WABBLES with strong storms moving through the area. Happy Friday, folks! Its another great start to the day, but we do have some active weather to talk about for the days ahead. It won’t be a total washout, but off and on rain chances are expected this weekend.
We are starting out dry this morning, but rather chilly with temperatures in the mid-low 40s across the area. Frost potential continues to remain unseen in the coming days, but we will be keeping a close eye on it. Again if you have plans to plant in the WABBLES area you are likely in the clear.
We stay dry during the day under mostly sunny skies. The image above shows are large trough over the Eastern United States today. This is why the cooler air is in place across the region. Looking at future radar, we will see a few showers and storms develop to our north this evening.
Temperatures this afternoon will top out in the upper 60s with maybe a few locations breaking 70. It is going be a really nice day across the area. Again, any showers that do make it here will move in after dark. Partly cloudy skies are expected this afternoon.
Winds will be gusty this afternoon with already strong winds well above our heads. A few gusts may top out at 25-30mph, but the strongest winds should stay to our north. Either way there will be a stiff breeze later today.
A Few Showers and Storms Saturday
Overnight Friday the boundary to our north will slowly sag south into our area. We could see a few showers develop during the wee morning ours of Saturday. Temperatures will again be in the 40s to start the weekend.
Showers and few thunderstorms will be possible on Saturday as activity begins to push in from the west. Most of this should remain pretty light as it will be fighting some dry air. Highest rain amounts on Saturday will be around 0.10-0.20″.
Temperatures on Saturday will struggle into the 60s for the most part. The extensive cloud cover and on going showers will dampen our highs. Looking much better just to our south though! Showers and storms should start to let up as we head into the evening hours and into Saturday night.
Wetter on Mother’s Day
The main system responsible for all of this will finally start to push through on Sunday. A strong area of low pressure will track just to our north and bring more activity to our area. Waking up on Mother’s Day we might have only a few showers in the area with most of the activity still off to our west.
As this activity approaches our area on Sunday morning there will be some questions on the intensity. Right now we may see a few strong to severe storms, but chances look low. The main question will be how much sun do we get between the morning round and the afternoon to add some fuel to the atmosphere. If we do get sunshine, then severe weather will be possible in the afternoon.
Again the severe risk is low, but a few storms will have the potential for hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. Rainfall amounts won’t be as bad as early this week. Most locations will see around an inch through Sunday with the highest totals staying to our north. Isolated higher amounts will be possible under heavy downpours.
All activity should push out Sunday night. Winds will be gusty on Sunday too with a strong low-level jet over the area. Again, hopefully we can avoid strong thunderstorms tapping into those strong winds aloft on Sunday.
Flash Flood Guidance
This is something new that we would like to introduce to you guys! This is “Flash Flood Guidance” and it is updated by the National Weather Service. This product tells us how much rain would need to fall in a certain time period to cause flash flooding. Right now, we would need 1.5-2.5″ of rain to fall in one hour to cause flash flooding.
Why does this matter? While flash flooding is not expected to be a big threat this weekend, if we do get a few storms on Sunday that feature heavy rainfall for a long period of time, we could see some flooding issues. Although, right now we are not expecting to see these flash flooding thresholds met.
We look to start the new work week rather dry with high pressure overhead. This will be Canadian high pressure so temperatures will be below average through early next week. Our average high this time of year is 75 degrees, but we will struggle to reach 70 next week.
Heading into late Wednesday through Thursday we will see another wave of moisture move through the region. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible again by the middle of next week. Right now, this does not look like a heavy rain threat but we are closely watching.
Well below average temperatures will continue through most of next week with highs struggling to get out the 60s. Hoping for a return to a more normal feel by the third week in May.
That will do for today from us at wxornotBG! Again, follow us on all our social media platforms this weekend so you can stay updated on the latest weather situations. We will be monitoring it all! Have great weekend everyone!