Saturday Update

Bowling Green Weather – Real-time Radar:

Today 7/26– Mostly Sunny – High 94° / Tonight – Iso’d Showers/Storms – Low 74°

6am 67º – 9am 77º – 12pm 88º – 3pm 94º – 6pm 92º

Looks like today will be a big warm up compared to prior days here in Bowling Green. We will have plenty of sunshine under mostly sunny skies throughout the day with southerly winds kicking into gear. A warm front is expected to pass over the region around lunch time that will allow higher dewpoints to infiltrate our atmosphere. Expect highs into the mid 90s for today.

Surface map valid for 1pm today – Courtesy NOAA WPC

This evening and tonight look pretty calm overall with the exception of a stray shower or thunderstorm with our unstable atmosphere.  With the given parameters any storm that enters the area could be strong.  Warm Sector conditions ahead of our next system entering the region from the northwest. Lows will be in the mid 70s overnight.

Saturday Convective Outlook - Courtesy NOAA SPC
Saturday Convective Outlook – Courtesy NOAA SPC

The SPC Convective Outlook for today (provided above) showcases what could be a robust severe weather event just to our north today.  As you can see, we’re not included in the severe threat.


Sunday 7/27– Chance of Thunderstorms– High 95° / Sunday Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 74°

Severe Storms Possible

Sunday’s weather will be pretty interesting for our area as a shortwave trough is bring all necessary elements to organize thunderstorm activity throughout the day. We will already have an unstable atmosphere ahead of the approaching frontal boundary, once the shear kicks in we will be all set for convective activity. Take a look at our CAPE and Bulk Shear values for 7pm, big factors in strong thunderstorm development:

CAPE and Bulk Shear valid for 7pm

Timing of any organized areas of convection will be key to the overall behavior of the system; activity that may possibly occur early in the morning would likely inhibit storms in the afternoon. However, dynamics will be in place all day and storms will be likely, some of which may be severe.

Higher chances of severe weather will require little to no activity up until the afternoon and evening hours. Regardless, SPC is monitoring our area for thunderstorm activity:

Sunday Convective Outlook - Courtesy NOAA SPC
Sunday Convective Outlook – Courtesy NOAA SPC

Main severe weather threats will be damaging winds and hail with any storms that go up. Keep an eye on the radar and stay tuned for more information as it becomes available; be weather aware. Other notable weather will be the fact that it will be warm and muggy with heat index values near 100 degrees in some areas Sunday afternoon.


Monday 7/28– Showers Possible Early– High 82° / Monday Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 61°

Monday will be another swing in temperatures with the passage of the cold front taking place overnight Sunday and carrying moisture and storms out of the area. Winds will shift to the northwest behind the front as high pressure begins to build in over the region. Expect lingering showers possible early on but partly cloudy skies afterwards with highs in the low 80s.


Monday night will cool off into the low 60s with partly cloudy skies overnight. Much improved conditions all across the board and below average temperatures once again. But hey, I’m not complaining! That does it for now, folks. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter. Have a great Saturday!