Today 7/12 – Mostly Cloudy – High 91º / Tonight –Partly Cloudy – Low 70º
6am 61º – 9am 74º – 12pm 87º – 3pm 91º – 6pm 88º
Looks like our weather is in a state of change over the next few days and begins with today. Overall, it will be relatively calm, just another warm, sunny day outside with highs into the low 90s across the region. Southerly flow is kicking in today to help bring up our moisture content in advance of our upcoming storm system. An isolated shower or thunderstorm can’t be ruled out this evening.
Here’s a look out our surface map for 1pm today, note the warm front which will have passed over the area around lunch time:
Tonight will be mostly calm with partly cloudy skies overhead, lows expected to fall to near 70 degrees across the area.
Sunday 7/13 – Mostly Sunny – High 93º / Sunday Night – Iso’d Showers & T’storms – Low 73º
Sunday will be a warm one, and with increased humidity values to boot. Southerly winds will be cranking moisture into the air and will support heat indices into the upper 90s for some of us. Breezy conditions and mostly sunny skies will be the general theme for the day but won’t help the uncomfortable air outside.
Sunday night will likely be our first taste of decent precipitation chances as dynamics from the approaching storm system begin to enter the Ohio Valley. Expect an isolated shower or thunderstorm and lows in the low 70s.
Monday 7/14 – Scattered Thunderstorms – High 88º / Monday Night – Scattered Thunderstorms– Low 69º
Monday brings our most active weather in the near term as the storm system approaching from the northwest enters our region and brings necessary dynamics to support organized thunderstorm development throughout the day. Expect highs in the upper 80s for the most part and any areas seeing more sunshine possibly near 90. Thunderstorms are likely and will be most prominent during the afternoon and evening hours with peak instability.
Here’s NAM suggested surface winds, pressure, and temperatures next to simulated radar reflectivity for 1pm Monday:
(Note after the first line on Monday, a second tries to form northwest in Missouri and could effect us overnight, but again this is just one model and a simulation, we’ll see what actually happens.)
Due to the dynamics entering the region and the resultant threat of severe weather, the Storm Prediction Center has an eye on our area for Monday:
Keep an eye on the radar and stay weather aware on Monday. Follow trusted sources for severe weather information such as the National Weather Service in Louisville or other trusted local media sources.
And as usual, that sums it up for now. Be sure to stay up to date with all your real time weather info @WxOrNotBG and @WarrenCountyWX on Twitter. Have a great Saturday and a great start to the weekend!