Severe Threat Continues Overnight

The severe weather threat for southern Kentucky will continue overnight.  The Storm Prediction Center recently updated their outlook.  They have kept all of south central Kentucky in a ‘Slight (think enhanced) Risk’ of severe weather through early tomorrow morning:

SPC Outlook Mon Night - Tue Morning
SPC Outlook Mon Night – Tue Morning

Our atmosphere remains juiced with ingredients that support strong convection.  A boundary is currently sweeping east across western Kentucky, and could serve as a focus for storm development over the upcoming hours…

via RadarScope
via RadarScope valid 8:20pm 10/6/14

The latest HRRR model trends have suggested a strong cluster of storms will fire to our northwest, and slide east/southeast over the upcoming hours.

The following HRRR model loops every hour from 9pm – 1am.  As you can see, this run suggest we’re in for a busy night.

HRRR Model Loop Valid 9pm - 1am (Source:
HRRR Model Loop Valid 9pm – 1am (Source:

This is not a guarantee, however, the current setup does suggest the possibility of it coming to fruition.  Main threats, should we see these storms fire, will be strong winds, frequent lightning, and hail.  Although very marginal, an isolated tornado threat cannot be ruled out.

Per the usual, I’ll be updating more frequently @WxorNotBG.  Everyone have a safe night.